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Selasa, 23 November 2010

Game teori

Game teori dasar situasi konflik yang secara peluang berapa yang dimiliki swami & Tech untuk memenangkan Pertandingan

Mix Strategi = Bagaimana kita melihat dari quick team dihadapakan strong team, swami dihadapkan Tech.


 

The Rugby Championship Game Table

 

Tech's Alternatives

 

Swami's Alternatives

 

S1=

Use the quick team

S2=

Use the strong team

A1=

Use the quick team

 

40% (0.4)

 

80% (0.8

A2=

Use the strong team

 

70%(0.7)

 

10%(0.1)


 

0.4p(A1)+0.7p(A2)=0.8p(A1)+0.1p(A2)

0.6p(A2)=0.4p(a1)


 

A1=1-0.4p=0.6

A2=1-0.6p=0.4


 

0.4p(0.6)+0.7p(0.4)=0.52


 

0.8p(0.6)+0.1p(0.4)=0.52

0.4p(s1)+0.8p(s2)=0.7p(s1)+0.1p(s2)

0.7p(s2)=0.3p(s1)


 

S1=1-0.3p=0.7

S2=1-0.7p=0.3


 

0.4p(0.7)+0.8p(0.3)=0.52


 

0.7p(0.7)+0.1p(0.3)=0.52

60%

Quick Team

QuickStrong 52%

40%Strong Team

70%

Quick Team

QuickStrong 52%

30%Strong Team

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